Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory G Rowe, G Wright, F Bolger Technological forecasting and social change 39 (3), 235-251, 1991 | 1163 | 1991 |
Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research F Bolger, G Wright Technological forecasting and social change 78 (9), 1500-1513, 2011 | 275 | 2011 |
Assessing the quality of expert judgment: Issues and analysis F Bolger, G Wright Decision support systems 11 (1), 1-24, 1994 | 262 | 1994 |
The calibration of subjective probability: Theories and models 1980–94. AGR McClelland, F Bolger John Wiley & Sons, 1994 | 240 | 1994 |
The hard–easy effect in subjective probability calibration L Suantak, F Bolger, WR Ferrell Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 67 (2), 201-221, 1996 | 168 | 1996 |
Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting N Harvey, F Bolger International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1), 119-137, 1996 | 155 | 1996 |
Context-sensitive heuristics in statistical reasoning F Bolger, N Harvey The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology Section A 46 (4), 779-811, 1993 | 125 | 1993 |
Expertise and decision support F Bolger, G Wright Springer Science & Business Media, 2007 | 124 | 2007 |
Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters? F Bolger, A Stranieri, G Wright, J Yearwood Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78 (9), 1671-1680, 2011 | 107 | 2011 |
An empirical test of the relative validity of expert and lay judgments of risk G Wright, F Bolger, G Rowe Risk Analysis: An International Journal 22 (6), 1107-1122, 2002 | 103 | 2002 |
Reliability and validity in expert judgment F Bolger, G Wright Expertise and decision support, 47-76, 1992 | 97 | 1992 |
The aggregation of expert judgment: Do good things come to those who weight? F Bolger, G Rowe Risk Analysis 35 (1), 5-11, 2015 | 92 | 2015 |
The effects of feedback on judgmental interval predictions F Bolger, D Önkal-Atay international Journal of forecasting 20 (1), 29-39, 2004 | 85 | 2004 |
On the nature of expectations N Harvey, F Bolger, A McClelland British Journal of Psychology 85 (2), 203-229, 1994 | 79 | 1994 |
Coherence, calibration, and expertise in judgmental probability forecasting G Wright, G Rowe, F Bolger, J Gammack Organizational behavior and human decision processes 57 (1), 1-25, 1994 | 71 | 1994 |
BARD: A structured technique for group elicitation of Bayesian networks to support analytic reasoning EP Nyberg, AE Nicholson, KB Korb, M Wybrow, I Zukerman, S Mascaro, ... Risk Analysis 42 (6), 1155-1178, 2022 | 61 | 2022 |
Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future: Issues, analysis and directions F Bolger, G Wright International Journal of Forecasting 33 (1), 230-243, 2017 | 57 | 2017 |
Market entry decisions: Effects of absolute and relative confidence F Bolger, BD Pulford, AM Colman Experimental Psychology 55 (2), 113-120, 2008 | 54 | 2008 |
The selection of experts for (probabilistic) expert knowledge elicitation F Bolger Elicitation: The science and art of structuring judgement, 393-443, 2018 | 35 | 2018 |
Asymmetric dominance and phantom decoy effects in games AM Colman, BD Pulford, F Bolger Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 104 (2), 193-206, 2007 | 33 | 2007 |