Theo dõi
Fergus Bolger
Fergus Bolger
Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK
Email được xác minh tại aru.ac.uk - Trang chủ
Tiêu đề
Trích dẫn bởi
Trích dẫn bởi
Năm
Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory
G Rowe, G Wright, F Bolger
Technological forecasting and social change 39 (3), 235-251, 1991
11631991
Improving the Delphi process: Lessons from social psychological research
F Bolger, G Wright
Technological forecasting and social change 78 (9), 1500-1513, 2011
2752011
Assessing the quality of expert judgment: Issues and analysis
F Bolger, G Wright
Decision support systems 11 (1), 1-24, 1994
2621994
The calibration of subjective probability: Theories and models 1980–94.
AGR McClelland, F Bolger
John Wiley & Sons, 1994
2401994
The hard–easy effect in subjective probability calibration
L Suantak, F Bolger, WR Ferrell
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 67 (2), 201-221, 1996
1681996
Graphs versus tables: Effects of data presentation format on judgemental forecasting
N Harvey, F Bolger
International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1), 119-137, 1996
1551996
Context-sensitive heuristics in statistical reasoning
F Bolger, N Harvey
The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology Section A 46 (4), 779-811, 1993
1251993
Expertise and decision support
F Bolger, G Wright
Springer Science & Business Media, 2007
1242007
Does the Delphi process lead to increased accuracy in group-based judgmental forecasts or does it simply induce consensus amongst judgmental forecasters?
F Bolger, A Stranieri, G Wright, J Yearwood
Technological Forecasting and Social Change 78 (9), 1671-1680, 2011
1072011
An empirical test of the relative validity of expert and lay judgments of risk
G Wright, F Bolger, G Rowe
Risk Analysis: An International Journal 22 (6), 1107-1122, 2002
1032002
Reliability and validity in expert judgment
F Bolger, G Wright
Expertise and decision support, 47-76, 1992
971992
The aggregation of expert judgment: Do good things come to those who weight?
F Bolger, G Rowe
Risk Analysis 35 (1), 5-11, 2015
922015
The effects of feedback on judgmental interval predictions
F Bolger, D Önkal-Atay
international Journal of forecasting 20 (1), 29-39, 2004
852004
On the nature of expectations
N Harvey, F Bolger, A McClelland
British Journal of Psychology 85 (2), 203-229, 1994
791994
Coherence, calibration, and expertise in judgmental probability forecasting
G Wright, G Rowe, F Bolger, J Gammack
Organizational behavior and human decision processes 57 (1), 1-25, 1994
711994
BARD: A structured technique for group elicitation of Bayesian networks to support analytic reasoning
EP Nyberg, AE Nicholson, KB Korb, M Wybrow, I Zukerman, S Mascaro, ...
Risk Analysis 42 (6), 1155-1178, 2022
612022
Use of expert knowledge to anticipate the future: Issues, analysis and directions
F Bolger, G Wright
International Journal of Forecasting 33 (1), 230-243, 2017
572017
Market entry decisions: Effects of absolute and relative confidence
F Bolger, BD Pulford, AM Colman
Experimental Psychology 55 (2), 113-120, 2008
542008
The selection of experts for (probabilistic) expert knowledge elicitation
F Bolger
Elicitation: The science and art of structuring judgement, 393-443, 2018
352018
Asymmetric dominance and phantom decoy effects in games
AM Colman, BD Pulford, F Bolger
Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 104 (2), 193-206, 2007
332007
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