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| Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming W Cai, S Borlace, M Lengaigne, P Van Rensch, M Collins, G Vecchi, ... Nature Climate Change, 2014 | 2314 | 2014 |
| Quantification of modelling uncertainties in a large ensemble of climate change simulations JM Murphy, DMH Sexton, DN Barnett, GS Jones, MJ Webb, M Collins, ... Nature 430 (7001), 768-772, 2004 | 1949 | 2004 |
| Projections of future climate change U Cubasch, GA Meehl, GJ Boer, RJ Stouffer, M Dix, A Noda, CA Senior, ... Climate Change 2001: The scientific basis. Contribution of WG1 to the Third …, 2001 | 1493 | 2001 |
| Uncertainty in predictions of the climate response to rising levels of greenhouse gases DA Stainforth, T Aina, C Christensen, M Collins, N Faull, DJ Frame, ... Nature 433 (7024), 403-406, 2005 | 1482 | 2005 |
| Improved general circulation models of the Martian atmosphere from the surface to above 80 km F Forget, F Hourdin, R Fournier, C Hourdin, O Talagrand, M Collins, ... Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets (1991–2012) 104 (E10), 24155-24175, 1999 | 1426 | 1999 |
| The impact of global warming on the tropical Pacific Ocean and El Niño M Collins, SI An, W Cai, A Ganachaud, E Guilyardi, FF Jin, M Jochum, ... Nature Geoscience 3 (6), 391-397, 2010 | 1402 | 2010 |
| Summary for policymakers S Solomon Climate change, 2007 | 1231* | 2007 |
| Amazonian forest dieback under climate-carbon cycle projections for the 21st century PM Cox, RA Betts, M Collins, PP Harris, C Huntingford, CD Jones Theoretical and applied climatology 78, 137-156, 2004 | 1064 | 2004 |
| UK climate projections science report: climate change projections JM Murphy, DMH Sexton, GJ Jenkins, BBB Booth, CC Brown, RT Clark, ... Meteorological Office Hadley Centre, 2009 | 995 | 2009 |
| ENSO and greenhouse warming W Cai, A Santoso, G Wang, SW Yeh, SI An, KM Cobb, M Collins, ... Nature Climate Change, 2015 | 847 | 2015 |
| Projected increase in continental runoff due to plant responses to increasing carbon dioxide RA Betts, O Boucher, M Collins, PM Cox, PD Falloon, N Gedney, ... Nature 448 (7157), 1037-1041, 2007 | 742 | 2007 |
| Increased frequency of extreme La Niña events under greenhouse warming W Cai, G Wang, A Santoso, MJ McPhaden, L Wu, FF Jin, A Timmermann, ... Nature Climate Change 5 (2), 132-137, 2015 | 704 | 2015 |
| Understanding El Niño in ocean–atmosphere general circulation models: Progress and challenges E Guilyardi, A Wittenberg, A Fedorov, M Collins, C Wang, A Capotondi, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 90 (3), 325-340, 2009 | 658 | 2009 |
| El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, M Collins Ocean Science Discussions 2 (3), 267-298, 2005 | 543 | 2005 |
| Increasing risk of Amazonian drought due to decreasing aerosol pollution PM Cox, PP Harris, C Huntingford, RA Betts, M Collins, CD Jones, ... Nature 453 (7192), 212-215, 2008 | 527 | 2008 |
| The role of ecosystem-atmosphere interactions in simulated Amazonian precipitation decrease and forest dieback under global climate warming RA Betts, PM Cox, M Collins, PP Harris, C Huntingford, CD Jones Theoretical and applied climatology 78, 157-175, 2004 | 515 | 2004 |