Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti, JP Dunne, F Engelbrecht, ...
Cambridge University Press, 2021
855 2021 Global carbon and other biogeochemical cycles and feedbacks JG Canadell, PMS Monteiro, MH Costa, LC Da Cunha, PM Cox, ...
IPCC AR6 WGI, final government distribution, chapter 5, 2021
792 2021 Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change AD McGuire, DM Lawrence, C Koven, JS Clein, E Burke, G Chen, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (15), 3882-3887, 2018
448 2018 Significant contribution to climate warming from the permafrost carbon feedback AH MacDougall, CA Avis, AJ Weaver
Nature Geoscience 5 (10), 719-721, 2012
309 * 2012 A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback CD Koven, EAG Schuur, C Schädel, TJ Bohn, EJ Burke, G Chen, X Chen, ...
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical …, 2015
210 2015 Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from AH MacDougall, TL Frölicher, CD Jones, J Rogelj, HD Matthews, ...
Biogeosciences 17 (11), 2987-3016, 2020
186 2020 On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions during periods of net negative CO2 emissions K Zickfeld, AH MacDougall, HD Matthews
Environmental Research Letters 11 (5), 055006, 2016
184 2016 Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009 AD McGuire, C Koven, DM Lawrence, JS Clein, J Xia, C Beer, E Burke, ...
Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30 (7), 1015-1037, 2016
150 2016 Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy HD Matthews, KB Tokarska, ZRJ Nicholls, J Rogelj, JG Canadell, ...
Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779, 2020
146 2020 An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H Damon Matthews, KB Tokarska, J Rogelj, CJ Smith, AH MacDougall, ...
Communications Earth & Environment 2 (1), 7, 2021
128 2021 The Origin and Limits of the Near Proportionality between Climate Warming and Cumulative CO 2 Emissions AH MacDougall, P Friedlingstein
Journal of Climate 28 (10), 4217-4230, 2015
120 2015 Heat stored in the Earth system 1960–2020: where does the energy go? K Von Schuckmann, A Minière, F Gues, FJ Cuesta-Valero, G Kirchengast, ...
Earth System Science Data 15 (4), 1675-1709, 2023
108 2023 Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings AH MacDougall, K Zickfeld, R Knutti, HD Matthews
Environmental Research Letters 10 (12), 125003, 2015
98 2015 The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions CD Jones, TL Frölicher, C Koven, AH MacDougall, HD Matthews, ...
Geoscientific Model Development 12 (10), 4375-4385, 2019
93 2019 The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review AH MacDougall
Current Climate Change Reports 2 (1), 39-47, 2016
88 2016 Spatial and temporal transferability of a distributed energy-balance glacier melt model AH MacDougall, GE Flowers
Journal of Climate 24 (5), 1480-1498, 2011
86 2011 The Uncertainty in the Transient Climate Response to Cumulative CO 2 Emissions Arising from the Uncertainty in Physical Climate Parameters AH MacDougall, NC Swart, R Knutti
Journal of Climate 30 (2), 813-827, 2017
72 2017 Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed parameter ensemble modelling approach AH MacDougall, R Knutti
Biogeosciences 13 (7), 2123, 2016
70 2016 Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region J Xia, AD McGuire, D Lawrence, E Burke, G Chen, X Chen, C Delire, ...
Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 122 (2), 430-446, 2017
63 2017 Evaluation of air–soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region W Wang, A Rinke, JC Moore, D Ji, X Cui, S Peng, DM Lawrence, ...
The Cryosphere 10 (4), 1721-1737, 2016
57 2016